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Wednesday, May 13, 2026 at 10:14 PM
War and State Policy Drive Up Grocery Costs for Workers

Americans paid more for their groceries last month, with prices for food eaten at home rising 2.9% compared to the same month a year earlier. This marks the highest year-over-year inflation rate for the category since August 2023, representing a direct transfer of wealth from the working class to corporate capital. Prices at restaurants, fast-food chains, and other places to get prepared meals also increased, pushing overall food prices up 3.2% in the last year, according to the Labor Department’s consumer price index.

The ongoing Iran war, a product of imperial aggression, continues to prevent cargo ships from passing through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital corridor for global oil supplies. This disruption has caused fuel prices to soar. Diesel fuel, crucial for powering fishing boats, tractors, and the trucks that ship 83% of U.S. agricultural products, saw its average price per gallon increase by 61% from a year ago as of Tuesday, according to AAA.

Raymond Campise, owner of Sparrow Market, a small independent grocer in Ann Arbor, Michigan, reported that all his meat, produce, and dry goods vendors added fuel surcharges to their deliveries in recent weeks. Wholesale prices for meat, produce, and some other products have also risen, according to Campise. He stated, “For independent markets operating on narrow margins, even small increases can have a major impact,” illustrating how the squeeze from rising costs is passed down the supply chain, ultimately burdening consumers.

Purdue University economists Ken Foster and Bernhard Dalheimer suggest that the full impact of rising energy costs on food has likely not yet hit retail grocery prices in the U.S. They explained that higher costs to produce, process, store, and transport food can take three to six months to appear on supermarket shelves. Foster noted, “Most of what we’re seeing now in the food price chain probably predates the conflict,” and added, “We’re cautiously waiting to see what the June numbers and the May numbers might show as they come out in terms of ... the extent to which energy shocks in the Strait of Hormuz and shipping blockades and so forth are going to impact food prices.” This indicates that the surplus extraction from consumers is set to intensify.

Consumers paid 6.5% more for fresh fruit and vegetables in U.S. cities last month than in April 2025, and 8.8% more for meat, the Labor Department reported. Coffee prices were up 18.5%, partly due to drought and other weather conditions impacting global coffee production in recent years. These figures demonstrate a systemic wage suppression as the cost of essential goods outpaces any potential wage gains for the working class.

Imperial Policy and Corporate Profit

Beyond the war, U.S. trade policies have also contributed to the rising cost of food. In July 2025, the Trump administration imposed a 17% duty on fresh tomatoes imported from Mexico. Consumer prices for tomatoes subsequently rose 40% in the 12 months before April, a clear example of state action directly increasing costs for the working class while protecting specific domestic capital interests. Dry weather in the Western U.S. has been cited as one factor pushing up beef prices, which in April were 15% higher year-over-year.

Some food producers claim they are struggling due to higher fuel costs. The Southern Shrimp Alliance, representing shrimpers in eight states, reported that some boats have not left the dock this spring because they cannot catch enough shrimp to compensate for the cost of diesel. Fuel typically constitutes 30% to 50% of costs for U.S. shrimpers. However, because they supply only 6% of the shrimp consumed by Americans, their ability to raise prices or add fuel surcharges is limited, highlighting how smaller producers are squeezed within the capitalist system.

Higher fuel prices are also impacting food costs through other channels. Foster suggested that part of April’s 5% annual increase in prices for nonalcoholic beverages may be due to the petroleum derivative used in making plastic bottles. He stated, “It’s possible some of that’s starting to seep down the supply chain and get into those prices.” Looking ahead, Americans could face even higher food prices due to spiking fertilizer costs, as approximately 30% of the world’s fertilizer travels through the Strait of Hormuz. While U.S. farmers had fertilizer supplies in place before the war, Foster warned that the effects could become more noticeable next year if the conflict persists, impacting “the coming years’ food prices through a couple of channels. One, the energy costs and transportation handling. The other would be through packaging costs,” and, “If the conflict were to last longer, then we might see more coming online as fertilizer prices start to impact longer-term planting decisions and cropping decisions.”

The State's Role in Managing Contradictions

Food prices and broader inflation are positioned to feature prominently in November’s midterm elections. During his 2024 campaign, President Donald Trump frequently cited the prices of bacon, cereal, crackers, and other groceries as reasons why voters should return him to the White House. This political maneuvering uses the economic hardship of the working class as a campaign talking point, diverting attention from the systemic causes of inflation, such as imperialist wars and corporate price-setting, rather than proposing fundamental structural changes to address the root causes of surplus extraction.

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