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Published on
Monday, April 13, 2026 at 01:10 PM
War, Gas Prices, and the State’s Choke Points

Republicans returned to Washington this week eager to sell the pocketbook benefits of their nine-month-old megabill ahead of Tax Day, but the fallout from the war in the Middle East threatened to blow up that election-year script. While party leaders tried to keep the message on tax cuts and affordability, the machinery of war, surveillance, shutdown politics and maritime control kept dragging the agenda back to the same old place: power concentrated at the top, costs dumped below.

Who Gets the Bill

Politico reported in an article titled “It’s all we have to run on: GOP looks to tout tax cuts as war overtakes Hill agenda” that rising gas prices and spiking inflation were threatening Republican messaging as a cease fire with Iran proved tenuous and global energy flows showed scant signs of returning to normal. The article said Trump would go on the road this week to tout the “big, beautiful bill” and that House Republicans planned a Wednesday all-member news conference, according to two people granted anonymity to discuss the plans ahead of an announcement.

Rep. Nicole Malliotakis (R-N.Y.) said, “My constituents are saving thousands of dollars and they know it,” and added, “Republicans can and should take credit because the alternative would’ve been massive tax hikes under the Democrats had they won the 2024 election.” She said fears that the Iran conflict could weigh on the GOP’s tax-cut messaging were “separate issues,” and said Republicans “need to ensure that the spike is only temporary and that we get those prices back down as soon as possible so we have all three: low taxes, affordable gas and a safer nation.”

The article said new federal data published Friday showed inflation at its highest level in two years, with energy costs accounting for the bulk of the spike, and that peace talks with Iran over the weekend aimed at restoring oil flows through the Persian Gulf collapsed. That is the hierarchy in plain view: decisions made in war rooms and party offices, then translated into higher prices and tighter budgets for everyone else.

What They Call Order

The Washington Post published an analysis titled “Now it’s Trump blocking the Strait of Hormuz?” on April 13, 2026 at 6:01 a.m. EDT, by Matthew Choi and Dan Merica, with the subhead “Trump flips the script and blocks a key choke point.” The wording alone points to the choke-point politics at the center of the story: control of maritime routes, control of energy flows, control of who gets to move and who gets squeezed.

The article said the key factor in lowering energy prices — restoring the flow of oil and gas through the strait — remained wholly unsettled into the weekend. That uncertainty sat over the rest of the political noise like a boot on the neck of the public, with the people paying at the pump left to absorb the consequences of decisions made far above them.

Rep. Don Bacon of Nebraska said, “Russia and China will help them rebuild their military,” and added, “We are safer today because Iran is significantly weakened. But the government is still in place and that means they’ll threaten us in the long term. We bought time.” The language is blunt: war as a transaction, safety as a purchase, time as something the powerful claim to have bought while everyone else pays the interest.

The Apparatus Keeps Moving

The article said the congressional GOP was also growing increasingly entangled with the six-week-old Iran war, and that both chambers this week would likely debate and vote on Democratic-led war powers resolutions. The White House communications office sent talking points on the cease fire to GOP offices last week, arguing Trump had delivered “Peace Through Strength,” though much of that guidance referred to a possibility of a “broader peace agreement” that appeared kaput by Sunday morning. The memo said, “What’s left of the Iranian regime is desperate, dejected, and in denial.”

The same week, House and Senate Republicans returned to a toxic internal fight over how to end the nearly two-month-old Department of Homeland Security shutdown. House members left town after rejecting a Senate-approved deal funding most of the department, after Speaker Mike Johnson publicly trashed it, then reversed course, infuriating members who hated the Senate’s two-track plan that left immigration enforcement funding for the party-line reconciliation process. Despite endorsing the plan, Johnson did not intend to move forward on the Senate-approved DHS funding bill this week.

The House GOP would instead wait until the Senate made progress on the bill funding the remainder of the department through the partisan budget reconciliation process, according to four people granted anonymity to describe private plans. The article said Senate Republicans were charging ahead with a plan not to find spending offsets to pay for the cost of the legislation, which would help keep Democrats from forcing tough Senate votes on a wide variety of hot-button issues as part of the reconciliation process. That decision would rankle House GOP fiscal hawks who wanted to include a raft of spending cuts and additional policies beyond immigration enforcement funding.

Some GOP leaders were counting on the possibility of yet another reconciliation bill later in the year incorporating the remaining items on the GOP wish list. Johnson suggested as much on a tense call with House Republicans over the recess. Many House Republicans wanted the next party-line bill to include policies aimed at addressing affordability issues weighing on voters, while others wanted tens of billions of dollars for the Iran war the White House requested in its budget blueprint last week.

Surveillance, Strikes, and the State’s Favorite Tools

Johnson was also trying to wrangle how to extend the spy powers law ahead of its April 20 expiration. He planned to put a straight extension of the so-called Section 702 program on the floor this week, as the White House was demanding. Discussions continued with GOP hard-liners who wanted amendments aimed at protecting American citizens from getting swept up in government surveillance.

Fox News reported that President Trump voiced frustration with NATO and said the Iranian navy had been destroyed as the U.S. prepared for a blockade. Fox News also reported that the U.S. military conducted more deadly strikes against vessels described as those of alleged “narco-terrorists.” In that report, U.S. Southern Command said the U.S. conducted two deadly strikes on Saturday against “vessels operated by Designated Terrorist Organizations.” SOUTHCOM said in a Sunday night post on X, “Applying total systemic friction on the cartels,” and added, “On April 11, at the direction of #SOUTHCOM commander Gen. Francis L. Donovan, Joint Task Force Southern Spear conducted two lethal kinetic strikes on two vessels operated by Designated Terrorist Organizations.”

SOUTHCOM said intelligence confirmed the vessels were transiting along known narco-trafficking routes in the Eastern Pacific and were engaged in narco-trafficking operations. The post said one individual survived one of the strikes. SOUTHCOM said, “Two male narco-terrorists were killed, and one narco-terrorist survived the first strike. Three male narco-terrorists were killed during the second strike. Following the engagements, USSOUTHCOM immediately notified U.S. Coast Guard to activate the Search and Rescue system for the survivor. No U.S. military forces were harmed.” War Secretary Pete Hegseth shared SOUTHCOM’s post on his personal X account.

The report said President Donald Trump’s administration had carried out many such deadly attacks against alleged narcoterrorists. Across the war talk, the shutdown wrangling, the surveillance deadline and the tax-cut theater, the same pattern holds: the people at the bottom are told to live with the consequences while the people at the top argue over which lever of control to pull next.

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