Who Pays for the War Economy
President Donald Trump said Monday he will move to suspend the federal tax on gasoline to help Americans shoulder surging fuel prices caused by the Iran war. The move is framed as relief, but the pressure point is obvious: ordinary people are getting squeezed by a war economy they did not choose, while the state and its lawmakers debate which lever to pull next. The president cannot suspend the federal tax on his own, and Congress would have to approve the move.
As of Monday, the average national gas price was $4.52 a gallon, according to the AAA motor club, 50% higher than the average price of just under $3 a gallon before Trump began the war against Iran. That spike lands directly on people who rely on their cars and trucks to get to work and school and run everyday errands. Lawmakers from both parties have pushed for a gas-tax suspension, saying it would provide much-needed relief for families and businesses.
Trump was asked by reporters at the White House how long the tax should be suspended. He said, “Until it’s appropriate.” He also said, “it’s still money.” The line captures the whole arrangement: a government that can wage war, tax fuel, and then decide when the public may get a temporary break from the bill.
The Tax, the Trust Fund, the Trap
The federal tax is currently set at 18.4 cents per gallon on gasoline and 24.4 cents per gallon on diesel fuel, not including state taxes, which often are higher. The tax provides more than $23 billion per year in revenue for federal highway and public transit programs. That revenue stream is now being treated like a bargaining chip in a crisis created at the top.
As gas prices have spiked, the Trump administration has released millions of barrels of oil from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve and temporarily lifted sanctions on some Russian and Iranian oil shipments already at sea. The U.S. is negotiating with countries reliant on Middle East crude to join a coalition to police the Strait of Hormuz, where about one-fifth of the world’s traded oil normally flows. The apparatus is moving on several fronts at once: oil reserves, sanctions, military policing, and tax policy, all while the price at the pump keeps grinding down everyone below.
Republican Sen. Josh Hawley of Missouri said on social media Monday that he will introduce legislation to suspend the gas tax. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna, R-Fla., also said in a post on X that she will introduce a bill “to suspend the federal gas tax in light of Trump’s recent remarks.” Senate Majority Leader John Thune said Monday he has not “been a fan” of a gas tax suspension, but added, “You know, I’ve got some colleagues out there who think it’s a good idea. So, we’ll hear them out.”
Thune, a Republican from South Dakota, said he’d prefer to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to “normalize gas prices” without legislation. “Obviously, any time you suspend the gas tax, that leaves a big hole in the highway trust fund, which also has implications down the road,” he said. Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky., said that “instead of suspending the tax, we should suspend the war.” Sen. John Cornyn, who is in a tough runoff race later this month to keep his seat, said he wants to know how roads and bridges would be paid for if the tax is lifted. But he said there’s a “difference between a temporary suspension and a permanent suspension.” “A temporary suspension to get through this sort of bumpy time because of the uncertainty about energy prices, I could live with that,” he said.
Relief, Reforms, and the Same Old Machine
Trump has previously said higher fuel prices are worth paying to prevent Iran from getting a nuclear weapon. That hardline message appeared to soften Sunday as Energy Secretary Chris Wright said the Trump administration was “open to all ideas,” including a suspension of the gas tax, during an interview on NBC’s “Meet the Press.” The shift does not change who is carrying the cost: the people buying fuel, the workers driving to jobs, and the families trying to keep daily life moving.
A bill sponsored by Democratic Sens. Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut and Mark Kelly of Arizona would suspend the federal tax through Oct. 1. A similar measure was sponsored in the House by Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas of New Hampshire. Blumenthal said, “Trump’s war of choice with Iran is driving up gas prices across the country — and Americans shouldn’t have to bear the additional economic burden of Trump’s reckless decision making.” Kelly told reporters Monday he still prefers his legislation but would take “whatever we can get at this point.” He said, “People need relief.”
Several states, including Indiana and Georgia, have recently suspended their taxes to alleviate high prices amid the war. Kentucky and Utah have reduced their state tax. Other states are weighing similar suspensions or tax reductions. Even here, the reform trap is visible: one layer of government cuts a tax while another keeps the war, the oil flows, and the price structure intact.
The gasoline tax is the single largest source of revenue for federal highway and public transit programs. While proposed bills would offset any lost Highway Trust Fund revenue with general funds, the tax suspension could raise the federal deficit and jeopardize the long-term sustainability of investments for highway and public transit programs, according to the American Road & Transportation Builders Association, which represents the transportation construction industry. The group cites studies showing that many retailers do not pass on the full amount of the gas tax reduction to consumers. Research also suggests that state and federal gas taxes are just one component of a complex pricing scheme that includes the global price of oil and other factors.
Associated Press writers Kevin Freking and Steven Sloan in Washington contributed to this story.